- Dave Wasserman Twitter Rant
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David Wasserman is House Editor for The Cook Political Report, where he is responsible for analyzing U.S. House Races and is recognized as one of the nation's top election forecasters. Founded in 1984, The Cook Political Report provides analyses of Presidential, U.S. Senate, House and gubernatorial races. The New York Times has called the Report 'a newsletter both parties regard as authoritative.'
Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com has written: 'Wasserman's knowledge of the nooks and crannies of political geography can make him seem like a local,' and the Los Angeles Times has called David a 'whip smart' and 'scrupulously nonpartisan' analyst whose 'numbers nerd-dom was foretold at a young age.'
Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.com has written: 'Wasserman's knowledge of the nooks and crannies of political geography can make him seem like a local,' and the Los Angeles Times has called David a 'whip smart' and 'scrupulously nonpartisan' analyst whose 'numbers nerd-dom was foretold at a young age.'
In 2016, David drew praise for his accurate pre-election analysis, including his piece 'How Trump Could Win the White House While Losing the Popular Vote,' written two months before Election Day. Chuck Todd, host of NBC's Meet the Press, recently called David 'pretty much the only person you need to follow on Election Night.'
David is a contributor to NBC News and his election commentary has been cited in numerous top publications including Politico, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Economist, and RealClearPolitics.com. He has served as an analyst for the NBC News Election Night Decision Desk in 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012, 2010, and 2008, and has appeared on C-SPAN, CNN, Fox News and NPR.
David is a contributor to NBC News and his election commentary has been cited in numerous top publications including Politico, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Economist, and RealClearPolitics.com. He has served as an analyst for the NBC News Election Night Decision Desk in 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012, 2010, and 2008, and has appeared on C-SPAN, CNN, Fox News and NPR.
In the spring of 2019, David was named a Pritzker Fellow at the University of Chicago's Institute of Politics, where he led a seminar entitled 'Mapping Our Future: Forecasting Elections & Redistricting 2021.' A frequent speaker and guest lecturer, David has shared his insights into the latest political trends with audiences at Harvard's Institute of Politics, the Dole Institute of Politics, and Georgetown's Government Affairs Institute.
In 2018, David's groundbreaking interactive collaboration with FiveThirtyEight, the 'Atlas of Redistricting' took top prize for News Data App of the Year at the Global Editors Network's Data Journalism Awards. An enthusiast for data and maps, David served as a contributing writer for both the 2016 and 2014 editions of the Almanac of American Politics. In 2014, Twitter awarded David 'Best of Twitter' honors for his real-time election coverage.
Prior to joining The Cook Political Report in June 2007, David served for three years as House Editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, a widely respected political analysis newsletter and website founded by renowned Prof. Larry J. Sabato, Director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. In that role, David led the publication to correctly predict Democrats would score a gain of 29 House seats in November 2006.
Prior to joining The Cook Political Report in June 2007, David served for three years as House Editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball, a widely respected political analysis newsletter and website founded by renowned Prof. Larry J. Sabato, Director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics. In that role, David led the publication to correctly predict Democrats would score a gain of 29 House seats in November 2006.
Dave Wasserman on Twitter: 'Still, if you were forced to pick between having a Hispanic problem in FL (Biden) and a senior problem in FL (Trump), you'd rather not have a senior problem.' — Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2020 Wasserman went on to explain that the data extends far beyond a singular county, and most registered voters have already turned in their ballots. Twitter labeled Dave Wasserman's call of a Senate seat victory by Raphael Warnock over Kelly Loeffler as coming in without corroboration from other sources, and Dave Wasserman agreed. Dave Wasserman on Twitter: 'Periodic PSA: if someone tells you who's on track win certain states based on modeled party ID of the early vote, they're full of crap.'
A native of New Jersey, David holds a B.A. in Government with distinction from the University of Virginia and was awarded the 2006 Emmerich-Wright Outstanding Thesis prize for his study of congressional redistricting standards.
Last Updated: July 2019
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Cook Political Report editor Dave Wasserman has seen enough.
The data expert called the Georgia runoff election for Democrat Raphael Warnock, who he says will defeat Republican Kelly Loeffler. The call came early, as Georgia’s senate runoff elections are tight and have yet to be called by major outlets. Fade in for mac free download.
As political watchers have zeroed in on the special elections, Wasserman provided extensive analysis throughout the evening on where Warnock and Jon Ossoff would need to excel in order to defeat Loeffler and David Perdue.
The top 10 GA counties w/ 10k+ voters where Dems underperformed Biden by the most in November’s Loeffler special:
1. Hart -2.1%
2. Oconee -2.1%
3. Stephens -1.9%
4. Forsyth -1.7%
5. Greene -1.7%
6. Glynn -1.6%
7. Thomas -1.6%
8. Columbia -1.6%
9. Fulton -1.5%
Crossover disney kisses. 10. Catoosa -1.5%
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 5, 2021
When the election results came in, he focused on multiple counties where Democrats seemed to be over performing, or where Republicans seemed to be underperforming:
Lanier Co. (rural south GA) looks done:
Perdue 2,122-902 (+40.4)
Loeffler 2,121-907 (+40.0)
Trump (Nov.) 2,509-1,019 (+41.7)
And that’s only 86% of November turnout, so if that’s fully counted, that’s great news for Dems.
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— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Pulaski Co. (rural south GA) looks done:
Perdue 2,546-1,105 (+39.4)
Loeffler 2,524-1,126 (+38.4)
Trump (Nov.) 2,815-1,230 (+38.9)
Perdue/Loeffler running about even with Trump here, but turnout is just 90.3% of November levels. Dems could plausibly beat that in ATL.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Franklin Co. looks to be first deep red North GA county to fully report:
Perdue +70.8
Loeffler +70.8
Trump (Nov.) +69.4
But the bad news for Rs: runoff turnout is only at 86.1% of November levels. That might not cut it.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Washington Co. (rural central GA, racially polarized) looks fully reported:
Warnock +3.0
Ossoff +2.4
Biden (November) +0.7
And turnout is at 90.6% of November levels. These are great numbers for both Dems.
Dave Wasserman Twitter Rant
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
This eventually led to Wasserman expressing his view that “Republicans have a turnout problem,” and that might say something about President Donald Trump’s limits in getting people out to vote while he’s not on the ballot:
What we saw in 2018: plenty of Trump voters just won’t turn out without Trump on the ballot. Are we seeing history repeat itself tonight? So far, yes.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
It turns out when your coalition depends so much on one person (Donald Trump) driving turnout, there are some big downside risks when that person isn’t on the ballot.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Wasserman’s breakdown of the vote grew increasingly favorable toward Democrats with the emphasis that Loeffler’s re-election bid seemed to be waning.
District Dave Wasserman
Here’s the story right now:
1. Black turnout looks, frankly, phenomenal.
2. Perdue/Loeffler are approaching Trump %s of the vote in a lot of deep red rural counties, but turnout there isn’t anything special.
3. It’s getting harder to see a path for either R, but esp. Loeffler.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Dave Wasserman Politics
Inevitably, he reached the point where he was prepared to prematurely declare Warnock’s triumph:
I’ve seen enough. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) in GA’s special Senate runoff. #GASEN
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
The election has yet to be determined, so Twitter slapped his tweet with a warning label to highlight this fact. Even so, Wasserman seems to be accepting this rather well:
Guy Benson Twitter
Fair enough! The label is accurate. https://t.co/T7JTNgKtJI
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) January 6, 2021
Dave Wasserman Twitter New York
The post BREAKING: Cook Political's Dave Wasserman Calls Georgia Runoff For Democrat Raphael Warnock first appeared on Mediaite.